Faculty of Engineering, Univeristy of Peradeniya, Sri Lanka. marc@eng.pdn.ac.lk

3. A generalized forecasting solution to enable future insights of COVID-19 at sub-national level resolutions

COVID-19 continues to cause a significant impact on public health. To minimize this impact, policy makers undertake containment measures that however, when carried out disproportionately to the actual threat, as a result if errorneous threat assessment, cause undesirable long-term socio-economic complications. In addition, macro-level or national level decision making fails to consider the localized sensitivities in small regions. Hence, the need arises for region-wise threat assessments that provide insights on the behavior of COVID-19 through time, enabled through accurate forecasts.

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Faculty of Engineering, Univeristy of Peradeniya, Sri Lanka.

marc@eng.pdn.ac.lk

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